Week 2 Recap: 3-2 (9-6 overall)
Scroll to the bottom for Week 3s picks. Scroll slower for an expert analysis of each matchup.
Iowa State -3.5 – L (that pesky .5 smh)
Kansas +6.5 – L (choke job)
OU -4.5 – W
Baylor +3 – W (huge)
USF +17.5 – W
A close loss on Iowa State and a blown lead by Kansas leads us to another 3-2 week. That is three 3-2 weeks in a row, but who is counting (I am). Baylor pulls off a massive comeback to cover in a game where they did not lead for a single second, so I can’t complain too much. Let’s see what we have on tap for this weekend and keep trending in the right direction.
6Georgia (-3.5) at 15Tennessee
This is a huge matchup to kickoff SEC play for both of these teams. In typical SEC fashion, Tenn and UGA have been beating up on bad teams to start the year – now it’s time for them to make a statement. Joey Aguilar has been a welcome sight for Volunteer fans after having to watch Nico all of last year. He has put together a pretty good stat line of 535 pass yards and 5 touchdowns, but with a QBR of 68.7 which is good for 45th overall in the country. That won’t be good enough against a Georgia defense that is filled with Dawgs. A low scoring game is on tap in this one, and I give the edge to the Bulldogs who know their way around a dog fight. UGA -3.5.
18USF at 5Miami (+17.5)
USF has started this year as the Grim Reaper of College Football after knocking off two ranked teams in back to back weeks. Usually Cinderella stories like this end with an eventual blowout after a team has over-performed and has started to get a lot of hype. But is this just another Cinderella story or are the Bulls for real? When will Vegas learn you cannot give this team 3 possessions, regardless of their opponent? Miami is their toughest test yet, but I am not ready to close the book on this fairy tale just yet. USF +17.5.
Florida at 3LSU (-7.5)
This looked like it would be a top 15 matchup in the Bayou, but Florida did not hold up their end of the bargain last week. This has turned into a really interesting matchup for a lot of reasons. Napier is on the hot seat and LSU didn’t look too sharp last weekend – what versions will we get of each of these teams? I will be honest this is such a tough game to pick because there are so many ways this game can go. LSU blowout? Makes sense. Florida keeps it close? I can see it. Chance of rain? Never. Remember, things get crazy Saturday night in Death Valley. LSU -7.5.
16Texas A&M at 8Notre Dame (-6.5)
Can you believe Notre Dame is ranked #8 but has not won a game?? Feels like it has been ages since their week one loss to Miami and they have had a lot of time to prepare for this ranked matchup at home. Texas A&M has cruised in their first two matchups, but their defense has not looked the sharpest. ND has burned me once this season, but I am not going to let that stop me from choosing the better team to cover at home essentially coming off a bye. Fighting Irish get it done. ND -6.5.
12Clemson (-3.5) at Georgia Tech
With all the preseason hype Clemson got, you would think they could have handled Troy without struggling. But they didn’t. Sometimes Hype doesn’t equal on the field results, and so far that is proving to be true for the Tigers. On the other hand, Georgia Tech has lived up to their expectations so far. This is your classic bounce back spot for Clemson. But what if they don’t? What if Georgia Tech is legit? I lean towards a very close game with the Tigers having to claw back to get a win at the end. With the spread at 3.5, I think the Yellow Jackets will be swarming and keep it just close enough. GT +3.5.
Final Picks:
UGA -3.5
USF +17.5
LSU -7.5
ND -6.5
GT +3.5
Written by Blake Mire @BlakeMire on X
This is not financial advice, tail or fade at your own risk.