15 more Week 4 games, 15 matchup previews: We have predictions, picks and wild stats

play0:55Stephen A.: Mayfield and Tampa Bay are legit threatsStephen A. Smith details why the Buccaneers shouldn’t be ignored with Baker Mayfield at quarterback.

play1:20Why there’s a ‘ton of pressure’ on Jaxson Dart to winDan Orlovsky breaks down what’s at stake for Jaxson Dart and Brian Daboll at the New York Giants.

play1:45Should the Rams be encouraged despite loss to Eagles?Rex Ryan explains why the Rams proved they are among the best teams in the NFL even with a loss to the Eagles.

play2:13Stephen A.: Travis Kelce knows he’s not what he used to beStephen A. Smith understands why Travis Kelce expressed his frustration in a heated sideline exchange with Andy Reid.

play1:46Mike McCarthy breaks down Cowboys’ defensive strugglesMike McCarthy joins “The Pat McAfee Show” to discuss whether the Cowboys can make defensive improvements before their Week 4 matchup vs. the Packers.

Who needs the win more: Ravens or Chiefs? (1:12)The “Get Up” crew debates which team, the Ravens or the Chiefs, is under more pressure to get a win ahead of their game Sunday. (1:12)

Stephen A.: Mayfield and Tampa Bay are legit threatsStephen A. Smith details why the Buccaneers shouldn’t be ignored with Baker Mayfield at quarterback.

Stephen A. Smith details why the Buccaneers shouldn’t be ignored with Baker Mayfield at quarterback.

Why there’s a ‘ton of pressure’ on Jaxson Dart to winDan Orlovsky breaks down what’s at stake for Jaxson Dart and Brian Daboll at the New York Giants.

Should the Rams be encouraged despite loss to Eagles?Rex Ryan explains why the Rams proved they are among the best teams in the NFL even with a loss to the Eagles.

Rex Ryan explains why the Rams proved they are among the best teams in the NFL even with a loss to the Eagles.

Stephen A.: Travis Kelce knows he’s not what he used to beStephen A. Smith understands why Travis Kelce expressed his frustration in a heated sideline exchange with Andy Reid.

Stephen A. Smith understands why Travis Kelce expressed his frustration in a heated sideline exchange with Andy Reid.

Mike McCarthy breaks down Cowboys’ defensive strugglesMike McCarthy joins “The Pat McAfee Show” to discuss whether the Cowboys can make defensive improvements before their Week 4 matchup vs. the Packers.

Mike McCarthy joins “The Pat McAfee Show” to discuss whether the Cowboys can make defensive improvements before their Week 4 matchup vs. the Packers.

Rookie QB Jaxson Dart will make his debut against the surging Chargers. Packers edge rusher Micah Parsons makes his highly anticipated return to Dallas. And the Ravens and Chiefs — two of the league’s most unlikely 1-2 teams — will face off in an AFC showdown.

Let’s get into the full Week 4 slate, which culminates with two “Monday Night Football” matchups — one between the Jets and Dolphins on ESPN, and one between the Bengals and Broncos. (Game times are Sunday unless otherwise noted.)

Stat to know: The Vikings have allowed an average of 141.3 passing yards per game, which is the third fewest in the league. On the other hand, the Steelers are 24th in the NFL in passing yards per game (184.0). — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Vikings LB Andrew Van Ginkel will record a pick-six. How could I not pick this? Van Ginkel is the king of jumping horizontal passes and taking them to the house, and no one loves a screen pass more than Steelers offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. It’s a match made in defensive touchdown paradise. — Walder

Fantasy nugget: Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson struggled early in the season but exploded in Week 3 with 15.9 fantasy points. He tied for the team lead in receptions (five) and finished second in targets (six) and yards (49). Despite splitting time with Josh Oliver and Ben Yurosek, Hockenson has played more snaps and routes, keeping him a fantasy starter, especially with a favorable matchup against a Pittsburgh defense that gives up the second-most points to tight ends. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Maldonado’s pick: Vikings 24, Steelers 18 Moody’s pick: Vikings 24, Steelers 20 Walder’s pick: Vikings 27, Steelers 19 FPI prediction: MIN, 57.8 (by an average of 3.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: Peppers leads defensive surge for Steelers, but there’s room for improvement … Why Vikings wanted to play back-to-back in Dublin, London … … Will Vikings’ McCarthy start over Wentz once healthy?

Stat to know: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is 1-4 in his career against Buccaneers (including the playoffs), his most losses versus any team. — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Philadelphia will record a positive pass rate over expectation (per NFL Next Gen Stats) for the first time this season. Tampa Bay ranks first in EPA allowed per opponent designed run, so the Eagles are going to have to rely on Hurts’ dropbacks, perhaps even more than they did last week. The good news for the Eagles: They can win that way, too. — Walder

Stephen A.: Mayfield and Tampa Bay are legit threats

Fantasy nugget: Emeka Egbuka takes over as the Buccaneers’ No. 1 WR with Mike Evans sidelined for multiple weeks (hamstring). He has racked up 21 targets and 51 fantasy points through three games and will be busy against the Eagles’ secondary. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Buccaneers are 15-6 ATS as underdogs (10-11 outright) since acquiring QB Baker Mayfield in 2023, the best record in the NFL in that span. Read more. — ESPN Research

Maldonado’s pick: Eagles 34, Buccaneers 27 Moody’s pick: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 23 Walder’s pick: Eagles 24, Buccaneers 17 FPI prediction: PHI, 54.6% (by an average of 1.8 points)

Matchup must-reads: Inside the tactic NFL teams are using to combat the tush push … Buccaneers’ Evans expected to miss 3-4 weeks, sources say

Stat to know: Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has 450 receptions in 69 games since entering league in 2021 (most in the NFL over span). Since the AFL/NFL merger in 1970, only two players have more receptions in their first 70 career games: Michael Thomas with 510 (2016-20) and Justin Jefferson with 451 (2020-24). — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: The Browns will hold both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to under 4.0 yards per carry. Cleveland’s defense ranks first in yards allowed per rush (2.3) and run stop win rate (38%). — Walder

Fantasy nugget: The Browns’ defensive front is not to be trifled with and currently leads the league in run stop win rate. The Lions had a ton of success running the ball in Week 3 with Gibbs and Montgomery. However, Detroit would be wise to lean on QB Jared Goff, St. Brown and the passing game against the Browns. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Lions are 12-4 ATS in September under coach Dan Campbell. Read more. — ESPN Research

Maldonado’s pick: Lions 38, Browns 7 Moody’s pick: Lions 30, Browns 16 Walder’s pick: Lions 24, Browns 13 FPI prediction: DET, 78.1% (by an average of 12.0 points)

Matchup must-reads: How the Browns’ defense has turned back the clock to 2023 form … Rushing attack, pass rush help Lions defeat Ravens on road … Deion thinks Shedeur will start for Browns in ’25 … GM Holmes wants to build a dynasty — and a legacy — in Detroit

What we’re hearing on the Chargers: Chargers LB Daiyan Henley said the defense is taking Sunday’s matchup against rookie QB Jaxson Dart as a “challenge.” “This is going to be a guy that’s trying to prove something. And so, for us, we have to also prove how tough of a defense we are to face,” Henley said. “So, for us, he’s going to get our best, and I’m sure we’re going to get his.” The Chargers are currently allowing the ninth-lowest passing yards per game on defense (182.0). — Kris Rhim

Stat to know: Quarterbacks making their first career start against the Chargers are 3-17 in the Super Bowl era (since 1967), but 2-2 in such games since 2019. — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Chargers CB Donte Jackson will record an interception. Jackson has the lowest yards allowed per coverage snap (0.2) among all outside corners with at least 75 coverage snaps this season, per NFL Next Gen Stats, and is doing it without a low target rate (13%). Facing Dart in his debut, the chances of a pick are higher. — Walder

Why there’s a ‘ton of pressure’ on Jaxson Dart to win

Dan Orlovsky breaks down what’s at stake for Jaxson Dart and Brian Daboll at the New York Giants.

Fantasy nugget: Chargers RB Omarion Hampton is set up for significant touches in the backfield with Najee Harris out for the season after suffering an Achilles injury in Week 3. Hampton finished with 25 touches and 24.9 fantasy points last week and could replicate that production against a Giants defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. See Week 4 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Giants are 3-11 ATS in their past 14 games as underdogs. Read more. — ESPN Research

Maldonado’s pick: Chargers 30, Giants 17 Moody’s pick: Chargers 33, Giants 23 Walder’s pick: Chargers 27, Giants 20 FPI prediction: LAC, 76.0% (by an average of 10.6 points)

Matchup must-reads: How RB Harris’ Achilles injury affects the Chargers … No turning back now, Giants all-in on Dart as QB starter

Stat to know: The Bills have gone eight straight games without a turnover (including the playoffs), which is tied with the 2024 Chiefs for the longest streak with zero turnovers since 1933. — ESPN Research

Bold prediction: Saints LB Demario Davis will lead the NFL in combined tackles in Week 4. The Bills will get out to a lead so large that they will run the ball a ton. And Davis ranks second among linebackers in tackle rate versus run plays, earning a tackle or assist on 29% of opponent’s runs. — Walder

Maldonado’s pick: Bills 35, Saints 14 Moody’s pick: Bills 34, Saints 16 Walder’s pick: Bills 33, Saints 7 FPI prediction: BUF, 80.5% (by an average of 13.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: Davis and Jordan’s leadership is pivotal for 0-3 Saints … Lingering Bills questions amid historic run on turnover margin … Winless Saints lament Week 3 loss: ‘A very powerful lesson for our guys on adversity’

Stat to know: Commanders QB Marcus Mariota made 13 starts for the Falcons in 2022, going 5-8 with 15 passing touchdowns and nine interceptions. He was replaced by then-rookie Desmond Ridder for the final four games of the season. — ESPN Research

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