play1:48Why Stephen A. is higher on Josh Allen than Baker MayfieldStephen A. says that while Baker Mayfield is having a better season, he is higher on Josh Allen.
play1:03Could Jordan Love’s struggles lead to Matt LaFleur’s firing?Domonique Foxworth and Jeff Saturday discuss whether Jordan Love’s inconsistency will lead to Matt LaFleur’s exit.
play1:57Stephen A.: Caleb Williams is showing us what he’s made ofStephen A. Smith explains why the Bears need to rally around Caleb Williams if they want to make the playoffs with a tough schedule ahead.
play0:53Is Chiefs’ game vs. Broncos a must-win for Kansas City?Will Compton, Andrew Hawkins and Peter Schrager analyze if the Chiefs’ Week 11 matchup against the Broncos is a must-win for Kansas City.
play2:43Kurt Warner loves Dan Campbell taking over playcalling for the LionsKurt Warner tells Rich Eisen why he likes how Dan Campbell has handled taking over playcalling duties for the Lions’ offense.
Stephen A. calls out RC, Orlovsky during Packers debate (1:23)Stephen A. Smith is not happy with Ryan Clark and Dan Orlovsky while debating the Packers on “First Take.” (1:23)
Why Stephen A. is higher on Josh Allen than Baker MayfieldStephen A. says that while Baker Mayfield is having a better season, he is higher on Josh Allen.
Could Jordan Love’s struggles lead to Matt LaFleur’s firing?Domonique Foxworth and Jeff Saturday discuss whether Jordan Love’s inconsistency will lead to Matt LaFleur’s exit.
Domonique Foxworth and Jeff Saturday discuss whether Jordan Love’s inconsistency will lead to Matt LaFleur’s exit.
Stephen A.: Caleb Williams is showing us what he’s made ofStephen A. Smith explains why the Bears need to rally around Caleb Williams if they want to make the playoffs with a tough schedule ahead.
Stephen A. Smith explains why the Bears need to rally around Caleb Williams if they want to make the playoffs with a tough schedule ahead.
Is Chiefs’ game vs. Broncos a must-win for Kansas City?Will Compton, Andrew Hawkins and Peter Schrager analyze if the Chiefs’ Week 11 matchup against the Broncos is a must-win for Kansas City.
Will Compton, Andrew Hawkins and Peter Schrager analyze if the Chiefs’ Week 11 matchup against the Broncos is a must-win for Kansas City.
Kurt Warner loves Dan Campbell taking over playcalling for the LionsKurt Warner tells Rich Eisen why he likes how Dan Campbell has handled taking over playcalling duties for the Lions’ offense.
Kurt Warner tells Rich Eisen why he likes how Dan Campbell has handled taking over playcalling duties for the Lions’ offense.
This season’s international fun concludes with the Dolphins and Commanders facing off in Madrid. Later Sunday, QBs Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen will battle in Buffalo. The Seahawks and Rams play each other in an NFC West showdown, while two other top NFC teams face off Sunday night, as the Lions visit the Eagles.
Let’s get into the full Week 11 slate, which culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Cowboys and Raiders on ESPN. (Game times are Sunday unless otherwise noted.)
Jump to a matchup: MIA-WSH | TB-BUF | LAC-JAX GB-NYG | CIN-PIT | CHI-MIN HOU-TEN | CAR-ATL | SEA-LAR SF-ARI | KC-DEN | BAL-CLE DET-PHI | DAL-LV
Stat to know: The Commanders average 4.9 yards per rush, sixth highest in the NFL. On the contrary, the Dolphins allow 4.9 yards per rush, fifth worst in the NFL. — ESPN Research
Fantasy nugget: Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle is one of the few Miami players, along with RB De’Von Achane, that fantasy managers can trust in lineups. Since Week 5, which was the first game following Tyreek Hill’s season-ending injury, Waddle has averaged 6.8 targets and 14.5 fantasy points per game. The Commanders are an excellent matchup for Waddle, as Washington’s defense has given up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to WRs. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Dolphins are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) this season when the line is between +3 and -3. Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Dolphins 20, Commanders 12 Moody’s pick: Dolphins 32, Commanders 20 Walder’s pick: Commanders 27, Dolphins 21 FPI prediction: WSH, 51.9% (by an average of 0.4 points)
Matchup must-reads: Madrid’s NFL moment: Commanders, Dolphins kick off NFL’s Spain era … Commanders focused on finding new identity while in Madrid … Inside Dolphins’ quest to win over Spanish-speaking NFL world
Stat to know: Allen has exactly two turnovers in all three of the Bills’ losses. He has one turnover in their six wins. — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: Bills RB Ty Johnson will record at least 40 receiving yards. Johnson could be the latest running back to take advantage of Bucs LB SirVocea Dennis’ coverage struggles. — Walder
Why Stephen A. is higher on Josh Allen than Baker Mayfield
Stephen A. says that while Baker Mayfield is having a better season, he is higher on Josh Allen.
Fantasy nugget: Bucs RB Rachaad White is set to start once again. White has handled lead-back duties for six straight weeks as Bucky Irving works back from shoulder and foot injuries. White has recorded double-digit carries in each of his past five games but has cooled off recently, totaling just 26.9 fantasy points over his past three outings. However, the Bills’ defense has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to RBs this season. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bucs have covered six straight after a loss. They are 8-1 ATS after a loss over the past two seasons and 13-4 ATS since acquiring Baker Mayfield. Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Bills 27, Buccaneers 20 Moody’s pick: Bills 27, Buccaneers 24 Walder’s pick: Bills 27, Buccaneers 17 FPI prediction: BUF, 60.8% (by an average of 4.1 points)
Stat to know: Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has 79 career passing touchdowns, one shy of becoming the fourth player in Jaguars history to reach 80 passing touchdowns with the franchise. — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: Herbert will attempt 40-plus pass attempts. The Chargers rank second in pass rate over expectation (plus-6%), per NFL Next Gen Stats, and the Jaguars’ defense has induced the second-highest pass rate over expectation against it (plus-2%). — Walder
Betting nugget: Lawrence is 2-0 ATS against Los Angeles, including the playoffs. Before that, the Chargers covered in nine straight meetings against the Jaguars. Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Chargers 29, Jaguars 16 Moody’s pick: Chargers 20, Jaguars 16 Walder’s pick: Chargers 25, Jaguars 22 FPI prediction: LAC, 56.7% (by an average of 3.0 points)
Matchup must-reads: Coen: Premature if Hunter stays 2-way player … What Hunter’s season-ending injury means for Jaguars
Stat to know: The Packers are trying to avoid their third straight game with 13 or fewer points, which would be their longest streak since 1999 (three). — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: Giants LB Bobby Okereke will record 12-plus tackles. The Packers are going to run the ball all over the Giants because of New York’s weakness at stopping the run. The result will be a ton of tackles for Okereke. — Walder
Could Jordan Love’s struggles lead to Matt LaFleur’s firing?
Fantasy nugget: The Packers would be wise to lean heavily on RB Josh Jacobs against the Giants. The Giants have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to RBs this season. On the other side, New York could lean heavily on TE Theo Johnson, who has seen five or more targets and scored at least 10 fantasy points in five of his past seven games. The Packers’ defense has given up the seventh-most fantasy points per game to TEs. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Since 2020, teams that make midseason coaching changes are 10-5 ATS in their first game with the new coach (0-1 ATS this season, Titans). Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Packers 24, Giants 10 Moody’s pick: Packers 26, Giants 23 Walder’s pick: Packers 31, Giants 14 FPI prediction: GB, 63.7% (by an average of 5.4 points)
Matchup must-reads: LaFleur not giving up Packers playcalling, will push to do better … ‘Not good enough’: The fall of the Daboll era … … Giants’ Gano back on IR for second time in 2025 season
Stat to know: Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase has a receiving touchdown in three straight games versus the Steelers; he would be first player with a receiving touchdown in four straight games versus Pittsburgh since Carl Pickens for the Bengals (1994-96). — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: Steelers TEs will combine for at least 10 receptions. Not only do the Steelers target the position 34% of the time (second most), but the Bengals allow 26% of opposing targets to go to TEs — more than any other defense. — Walder
Fantasy nugget: RB Jaylen Warren has had at least 15 touches in six of his eight games this season. He has averaged 13.7 fantasy points, which likely represents his floor rather than his ceiling against the Bengals. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed the most fantasy points per game to RBs. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Five straight Bengals games have gone over the total. Overs are 7-2 in Bengals games this season (7-1 in the past eight). Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Steelers 34, Bengals 28 Moody’s pick: Bengals 27, Steelers 21 Walder’s pick: Bengals 30, Steelers 23 FPI prediction: PIT, 58.6% (by an average of 3.4 points)
Stat to know: Even though the Bears are tied with the Lions for the best record in the NFC North, Williams is 1-7 versus the division, including 0-2 this season. — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: McCarthy will throw multiple interceptions. We’ve seen only four games of McCarthy, and while he has had his moments, the cumulative numbers on those four games are not pretty; most of all a 26.6 QBR. On paper, the Bears’ defense ought to be a soft matchup. But when we’re predicting interceptions, it’s the QB that matters most. — Walder
Stephen A.: Caleb Williams is showing us what he’s made of
Betting nugget: All five Bears road games this season have gone over the total. All five Vikings games against teams with winning records have gone over the total. Read more. — ESPN Research