Giants-Raiders loser could be big winner in NFL draft

Jordan RaananDec 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ETCloseJordan Raanan covers the New York Giants for ESPN and can be heard hosting on ESPN Radio. Raanan joined ESPN in 2016.Follow on X

EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. — There is a lot at stake on Sunday for two 2-13 teams when the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders meet at Allegiant Stadium (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS). Namely, the pole position for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft.

This is all possible because the Giants and Raiders come in on nine-game losing streaks. It’s the first time in NFL history that two teams with at least nine-game skids during a single season meet, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

But clearly a lot is at stake for both teams aside from ending their losing streaks, even if those involved don’t want to look at it that way.

For the Giants, a win could mean preventing them from getting a significant haul in a trade for the top pick, presumably from a team that desperately needs a quarterback. Or they could just stay at No. 1 and select a top-rated player without any hesitation or obstruction.

Either way, it’s not hard to see why this game between two struggling teams is so valuable. So while the loser can technically be the winner, it’s not something that Giants interim coach Mike Kafka has even mentioned to his team this week.

The Giants ruled out left tackle Andrew Thomas on Friday with a hamstring injury and center John Michael Schmitz Jr. is doubtful with a finger problem that inhibits his ability to snap.

Las Vegas placed tight end Brock Bowers and safety Jeremy Chinn on injured reserve earlier this week. Bowers has been dealing with a knee injury for a good chunk of this season but finished Sunday’s loss to the Houston Texans. Chinn also landed on IR after playing all 61 defensive snaps against the Houston Texans.

“That’s their job, the front office, the coaches. They do that. But that has nothing to do with me. I’ve learned that lesson in the past. I’m not trying to … you can’t control everything. That’s not my job description. My job is to be the best in the world at what I do. That is wrecking the game.”

The Raiders ultimately shut down Crosby, much to his chagrin. He was ruled out for Sunday because of a lingering knee problem that he wanted to play through.

The Giants played against Washington late in the 2019 season in what has famously been dubbed “The Chase Young Bowl.” The loser of that game was supposed to have the prime position to draft former Ohio State standout Chase Young.

New York won behind five touchdown passes by Daniel Jones. The Commanders ended up taking Young second overall in that 2020 draft. The Giants, perhaps fortuitously, ended up with standout left tackle Andrew Thomas.

Unfortunately New York has been in this situation often in recent years. The Giants won in Week 17 last year against the Colts to take them out of the running for the No. 1 overall pick. The Tennessee Titans ultimately selected quarterback Cam Ward with the top pick while the Giants took edge rusher Abdul Carter third overall and had to trade back into the bottom half of the first round for quarterback Jaxson Dart.

The Giants also won three straight games late in the 2023 season with Tommy DeVito at quarterback to take them out of the running for quarterbacks Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye. They were selected by Chicago, Washington and New England, respectively, while New York remained at No. 6 and landed star wide receiver Malik Nabers.

The Giants haven’t made the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft since taking running back Tucker Frederickson out of Auburn in 1965.

The Giants and Raiders currently have a 37.6% and 36.2% chance, respectively, to land the coveted top pick, according to ESPN Analytics. The Giants would be comfortably in the driver’s seat heading into Week 18’s matchup with Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys if they lose in Las Vegas. Ditto the Raiders with the Kansas City Chiefs on the horizon for their finale. New York’s odds jump to 73% to get the top pick with a loss to the Raiders. They fall to 6% with a win. Conversely, the Raiders jump to 69% with a loss and less than 1% with a win.

CloseJordan Raanan covers the New York Giants for ESPN and can be heard hosting on ESPN Radio. Raanan joined ESPN in 2016.Follow on X

Stephen A.: Abdul Carter’s benching says more about him than Giants (2:09)Stephen A. Smith has something to say about the Giants’ LB Abdul Carter being benched and drawing attention. (2:09)

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