play2:12Madden simulates Super Bowl LXCheck out Madden’s simulation and its predicted winner of Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots.
play0:48Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX?Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX? Rob Gronkowski makes his prediction for the Super Bowl between the Seahawks and Patriots.
play1:15Stephen A.: Drake Maye’s mobility ‘problematic’ for SeahawksStephen A. Smith says the Seahawks should plan around Drake Maye’s abilities as a dual threat.
Madden simulates Super Bowl LXCheck out Madden’s simulation and its predicted winner of Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots.
Check out Madden’s simulation and its predicted winner of Super Bowl LX between the Seahawks and Patriots.
Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX?Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX? Rob Gronkowski makes his prediction for the Super Bowl between the Seahawks and Patriots.
Who does Gronk like in Super Bowl LX? Rob Gronkowski makes his prediction for the Super Bowl between the Seahawks and Patriots.
Troy Aikman joins “The Rich Eisen Show” and says he’s thrilled for Sam Darnold and what he has been able to accomplish.
Stephen A.: Drake Maye’s mobility ‘problematic’ for SeahawksStephen A. Smith says the Seahawks should plan around Drake Maye’s abilities as a dual threat.
Get your popcorn ready! The biggest single-day betting event of the year in American sports is here.
The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX on Sunday. Both teams entered the season as long shots to win the Lombardi Trophy, each coming in, appropriately enough, at 60-1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Five months later, they are the two that stand one win from becoming NFL champions, with the Seahawks as the betting favorite to avenge their Super Bowl XLIX loss to the Patriots .
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The first step to making a smart bet is to anticipate how the game will be won or lost. Defensive battle or offensive fireworks? Which players will be featured and which will be schemed out? These are the bets to make based on that script, and from which the rest of the selections flow.
Seahawks -4.5 (-115): I’m taking Seattle to win, so you can play the money line with this bet, too. It’s the offensive balance with the running game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and the schemed shot plays for quarterback Sam Darnold. Plus, the Seahawks’ defensive team speed jumps off the tape, and they can limit the Patriots’ offense with their foundational coverages. — Bowen
Patriots +4.5 (-105): This could be a Seahawks win and a Patriots cover. But if I like an underdog, it’s because I think they can win outright. New England is best in the league defending third-and-long plays. That could come into play against a Seattle offense that is 29th in converting those situations. Seattle’s points per drive drastically drops when taking a sack, and the Patriots are top 5 in pressure rate. If New England can force negative plays, +4.5 is significant. — Maldonado
UNDER 22.5 first-half points (-112): I expect the Patriots to come out tight and the Seahawks to come out cautious. The way Seattle loses this game is with Darnold turnovers; the Patriots want this game to be low-scoring and fast so that it always sticks within one score and a lone Maye explosive can win it. As such, I think the first half screams by with field position battles and field goal attempts. — Solak
Seahawks alternate line -12.5 (+218) OR Patriots alternate line -7.5 (+487): I feel like there’s one angle that’s often discounted in Super Bowls: a blowout. Yes, I’m partial to the Seahawks, so I’m probably looking at an alternate line, potentially Seahawks -12.5. But if I were made to bet the Patriots, I’d do the same thing and play Patriots -7.5. Honestly, while I prefer the Seahawks overall, given the odds, that Patriots alt line might be the better bet. — Walder
We have our first bet down, but this is the Super Bowl. Why stop at one? Here’s another bet to make on the final score of the game.
Seahawks team total OVER 25.5 (-110): Including the playoffs, Seattle is averaging 29.2 points per game. On Sunday, let’s look for offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak to mirror the run and pass game, which will lead to defined throws for Darnold. Plus, don’t be surprised if Kubiak isolates Smith-Njigba on the Patriots’ safeties in split-field coverage. — Bowen
Patriots +4.5 (-105): Relying on the axiom that “defense wins championships,” I’m taking Seattle to win outright. That said, the Patriots should cover. Interestingly, underdogs are 5-0 ATS and 4-1 outright (three straight victories) over the past five Super Bowls. Having both Christian Gonzalez and Milton Williams on the field together figures to bolster New England’s defense, and Maye’s mobility is likely to keep this game close. — Loza
Total points OVER 45.5 (-115): Both defenses generate turnovers, which can increase short-field scoring. Seattle leads with the most special teams touchdowns and ranks second in return yardage, adding non-offensive scoring equity. New England’s offense can move the ball, having generated explosive gains at the highest rate in the league. Even with playoff regression, sustained drives plus field goals, short fields and special teams push this total over. — Maldonado
Seahawks -4.5 (-115): The Seahawks enter Super Bowl LX riding a nine-game winning streak, driven by one of the league’s most dominant defenses. Seattle allowed just 17.2 points per game this season (16.5 PPG in the playoffs) and has held opponents to 16 or fewer points nine times. The Seahawks’ defensive front is talented enough to consistently pressure Maye. If Darnold limits turnovers, Seattle’s defensive edge and steady offense should be enough to win and cover the spread. — Moody
Maye 20+ completions (-127): The Seahawks are a heavy Cover 2 defense, playing it on league-high 33.1% of opponent dropbacks. That shell coverage limits vertical routes, but it also allows quarterbacks to take the throws that are available underneath. Maye averaged 20.8 completions this season, and he could be forced to throw with more volume if New England trails in the second half. — Bowen
Maye 20+ completions (-127): This has moved substantially since I gave it out last week, but I still like it. The Seahawks force more checkdowns than any defense in football, and Maye will be getting rid of the ball hyper-fast to protect his offensive line from the Seahawks’ rush. If the Patriots are trailing in the second half, as expected on a 4.5-point line, then we have garbage time as well to get over a fairly low number. I’ll be taking alts up to 25+. — Solak
Maye UNDER 19.5 completions (+100): Maye averaged 19.8 competitions over 20 total games, registering no more than 17 competitions throughout the playoffs. Dealing with a shoulder issue, starting multiple rookies across the offensive line and facing a Seahawks defense that regularly sends pressure, Maye doesn’t figure to have an efficient outing. — Loza
Darnold UNDER 230.5 passing yards (-111): This isn’t a ceiling game for Darnold. He can have the efficiency without the volume because New England is elite in coverage. The game script envisioned caps attempts and yards. — Maldonado
For more on the QB matchup, check out Matt Bowen’s breakdown of how he sees the game playing out for the players who will be under center.
Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 14.5 rushing attempts (-108): New England has fully committed to Stevenson, and even if the yards aren’t pretty, the volume will be there because the Patriots want to slow the game down, protect Maye and avoid asking him to do too much. That all runs straight through Stevenson getting fed early and often. — Maldonado
Kenneth Walker III OVER 72.5 rushing yards (-112): Walker has cleared this line in three of his last five games. Even though he didn’t surpass it in the NFC Championship against the Rams, he still handled a massive workload with Zach Charbonnet out after suffering a torn ACL in the divisional round. The Patriots’ run defense is solid but not elite, and Walker is one of the league’s most explosive backs, making him an excellent candidate to break a few long runs. — Moody
TreVeyon Henderson longest rush 10+ yards (+143): Henderson had 18 rushes of 10 or more yards during the regular season. He has the perimeter speed — and ball carrier vision — to create explosive plays if the Patriots can win the edges in the run game. — Bowen
George Holani OVER 10.5 rushing yards (-112): Holani isn’t fast, but he has patience and burst. He’s also the Seahawks’ No. 2 with Charbonnet sidelined (ACL). Holani recorded a snap share of 34% working behind Walker in the conference championship game, touching the ball six times for 31 total yards in that effort. While he averaged only 3.4 yards per carry over the season, the Boise State product’s volume should be robust enough to carry him over the above line. — Loza
Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 94.5 receiving yards (-113): Smith-Njigba had 153 receiving yards in the NFC Championship, and he averaged 105.5 receiving yards per game in the regular season. Yes, the Patriots could play more man coverage with cornerback Christian Gonzalez matching JSN, but I still like the over. Smith-Njigba was the best receiver I watched on tape this year (winning at all three levels of the field), and he will see consistent volume Sunday. — Bowen
Mack Hollins longest reception OVER 16.5 receiving yards (-115): Hollins returned from injury for the AFC Championship and promptly hauled in a 31-yard grab, finishing the contest converting both of his looks for a team-leading 51 receiving yards. With Seattle’s corners primarily focused on Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte, Hollins should get loose for a couple of long catches. For context, 27% of his catches have gone for at least 17 yards. — Loza
Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions (-135): Short passing, chain-moving game, JSN living in space. Explosives can still be there along with the volume. It could even come by halftime. Even if the Seahawks play it conservative, JSN is the safety net all night. — Maldonado