The 2026 women’s tournament bracket has been trimmed by 48 teams with one more day of second-round action to go to set the field of 16 that will play a second week.
Title favorite UConn headlines the three top seeds playing today. Thue Huskies are favored by 35.5 over Syracuse, while South Carolina is a 22.5-point favorites over USC and UCLA is favored by 26.5 over Oklahoma State. Texas already advanced to the round of 16 with a win against Oregon on Sunday.
Money line: Alabama Crimson Tide +310 Louisville Cardinals -395 Total: 132.5 Alabama: 23-10, 7-9 in SEC play Louisville: 27-7, 15-3 in ACC play
Money line: Virginia Cavaliers +750 Iowa Hawkeyes -1200 Total: 135.5 Virginia: 19-11, 11-7 in ACC play Iowa: 26-6, 15-3 in Big Ten play
Money line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +190 Ohio State Buckeyes -230 Total: 148.5 Notre Dame: 22-10, 12-6 in ACC play Ohio State: 26-7, 13-5 in Big Ten play
Money line: Kentucky Wildcats +145 West Virginia Mountaineers -175 Total: 128.5 Kentucky: 23-10, 8-8 in SEC play West Virginia: 27-6, 14-4 in Big 12 play
Money line: Illinois Fighting Illini +650 Vanderbilt Commodores -1000 Total: 152.5 Illinois: 21-11, 9-9 in Big Ten play Vanderbilt: 27-4, 13-3 in SEC play
Money line: USC Trojans +3000 South Carolina Gamecocks -10000 Total: 132.5 USC: 17-13, 9-9 in Big Ten play South Carolina: 31-3, 15-1 in SEC play
Money line: Oklahoma State Cowgirls +4000 UCLA Bruins -50000 Total: 138.5 Oklahoma State: 23-9, 12-6 in Big 12 play UCLA: 31-1, 18-0 in Big Ten play
Editor’s note: An error relating to individual team records in first-round games has been corrected.
The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily.
Monday’s action tips off at noon ET. Here are the lines and BPI projections for today’s games.
Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of latest time-stamp and are subject to change.
(6) Alabama Crimson Tide (3) Louisville Cardinals -8.5 Louisville, Kentucky, Noon ET
BPI projection: Louisville Cardinals by 9.9 points, straight up 81.9% of the time
BPI projection: Iowa Hawkeyes by 10.5 points, straight up 83.1% of the time
(6) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3) Ohio State Buckeyes -5.5 Columbus, Ohio, 4 p.m. ET
BPI projection: Ohio State Buckeyes by 3.4 points, straight up 62.5% of the time
(5) Kentucky Wildcats (4) West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5 Morgantown, West Virginia, 5 p.m. ET
BPI projection: West Virginia Mountaineers by 0.4 points, straight up 51.7% of the time
Money line: Off Total: 139.5 Syracuse: 23-8, 12-6 in ACC play UConn: 34-0, 20-0 in Big East play
BPI projection: UConn Huskies by 30.3 points, straight up 99% of the time
(7) Illinois Fighting Illini (2) Vanderbilt Commodores -13.5 Nashville, Tennessee, 7 p.m. ET
BPI projection: Vanderbilt Commodores by 9.7 points, straight up 81.5% of the time
(9) USC Trojans (1) South Carolina Gamecocks -22.5 Columbia, South Carolina, 8 p.m. ET
BPI projection: South Carolina Gamecocks by 18.4 points, straight up 94.3% of the time
BPI projection: UCLA Bruins by 22.5 points, straight up 96.9% of the time
(10) Virginia Cavaliers (2) Iowa Hawkeyes -13.5 Iowa City, Iowa, 2 p.m. ET
(9) Syracuse Orange (1) UConn Huskies -35.5 Storrs, Connecticut, 6 p.m. ET
(8) Oklahoma State Cowgirls (1) UCLA Bruins -26.5 Los Angeles, 10 p.m. ET