Arsenal are still Premier League title favorites, and here's why

Mark OgdenApr 20, 2026, 05:06 AM ETCloseMark Ogden is a senior soccer writer for ESPN.com. Read his archive here and follow him on Twitter: @MarkOgden_.Follow on XMultiple Authors

Leboeuf: Arteta will be to blame if Arsenal don’t win the title (0:54)Frank Leboeuf says mistakes from Mikel Arteta have allowed Manchester City back into the Premier League title race. (0:54)

There was a telling moment just after the final whistle of Arsenal’s 2-1 defeat against Manchester City on Sunday – a result that has left Mikel Arteta’s team fearing yet another failure to go the distance in the Premier League title race.

Arsenal midfielder Declan Rice is crouched down, contemplating the defeat, when he looks up to teammate Martin Ødegaard, shakes his head and says, “Eh? It’s not done.”

The inference from the brief snapshot is that Arsenal captain Ødegaard had lost belief in his team’s title hopes and had indicated that to Rice, who responded with the defiant message that, with five games still to play, Arsenal can still emerge as champions.

In his post-match news conference, Arteta echoed Rice’s comments by saying that his players are “more convinced” they can win the league after going so close to securing a positive result at the Etihad Stadium.

Arsenal did go close. An Eberechi Eze shot which hit the post and a stoppage-time Kai Havertz header over the City crossbar were examples of the fine margins that denied Arsenal a draw, or even a victory, that would have put them firmly in control of the title race.

Although Arteta’s side has now lost four of its last six games in all competitions — two in the league, one in the Carabao Cup and one in the FA Cup — the Bournemouth loss last week was their first Premier League defeat since January.

Since that loss to Manchester United, Arsenal’s league form had been on a par with City until losing to Bournemouth and Guardiola’s team. Their longest winning run was four games — the same as City’s best sequence — and both City and Arsenal have scored 20 goals in their last 10 league games.

So the winning machine built by Guardiola in years gone by, when City would surge to the title with a rampant run of victories, is not quite as formidable this time around.

Even though they have lost two and drawn one of their last three league games, Arsenal are still top and will only surrender first place on goal difference if City win their game in hand away to relegation-threatened Burnley on Wednesday.

So Rice and Arteta are right to insist that the title race is not over, but the onus is now on Arsenal to capitalise on the chance that they still have and outscore City during the run-in.

Only three points and one goal separate the two sides after Sunday’s result. Any win for City at Turf Moor would take them top by virtue of scoring more goals than the Gunners, so the hope for Arsenal will be that Guardiola’s players don’t win by an emphatic margin.

But if the goal difference gap is no more than three or four goals in City’s favour after the Burnley game, Arsenal’s remaining fixtures would tilt the odds towards the Premier League trophy heading to the Emirates rather than the Etihad next month.

All of Arsenal’s remaining games are against teams in the bottom half of the table, while four of City’s fixtures are against sides still chasing European qualification in the top half, so the schedule facing Guardiola’s players is much tougher.

With both sides chasing the title, it is not unrealistic to assume that they will each win all five of their remaining games, but Arsenal’s fixture list would appear to yield a greater opportunity to score goals.

It may even all come down to which team records the biggest win against Burnley, who have the worst defensive record in the league this season, having conceded 67 goals in 33 games to date.

So, for all those Arsenal supporters now believing the title has gone and that there will be an inevitable City procession to glory, don’t wave the white flag just yet.

Leboeuf: Arteta will be to blame if Arsenal don’t win the title (0:54)Frank Leboeuf says mistakes from Mikel Arteta have allowed Manchester City back into the Premier League title race. (0:54)

Frank Leboeuf says mistakes from Mikel Arteta have allowed Manchester City back into the Premier League title race. (0:54)

Mark OgdenApr 20, 2026, 05:06 AM ETCloseMark Ogden is a senior soccer writer for ESPN.com. Read his archive here and follow him on Twitter: @MarkOgden_.Follow on XMultiple Authors

CloseMark Ogden is a senior soccer writer for ESPN.com. Read his archive here and follow him on Twitter: @MarkOgden_.Follow on X

Those back-to-back league defeats against Bournemouth and City, preceded by a costly 2-2 draw at Wolves, have potentially ruined Arsenal’s title hopes, but there are positives to be drawn from the performance at the Etihad and enough reasons to justify Rice’s assertion to Odegaard that the race for the title really is “not done.”

The task is simple: five more wins and plenty of goals.

Leave a Reply

Discover more from

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading