NBA fast break: Who should you pick up before the fantasy playoffs begin?

Eric MoodyMar 4, 2026, 06:40 AM ETCloseEric Moody is a writer for fantasy football, men’s and women’s basketball, and sports betting at ESPN. Eric joined ESPN in 2021 after working as a senior fantasy analyst at Pro Football Network. Prior to that, he spent much of his career as a manager at a Fortune 100 financial services company.Follow on XMultiple Authors

play0:48Jonathan Kuminga puts on show with two unreal dunksJonathan Kuminga stuns the Trail Blazers with a poster dunk and a windmill slam for the Hawks.

Jonathan Kuminga puts on show with two unreal dunksJonathan Kuminga stuns the Trail Blazers with a poster dunk and a windmill slam for the Hawks.

play0:21Moussa Diabate rocks the rim with powerful jamMoussa Diabate rocks the rim with flush

GG Jackson’s rim evolution is fueling a late-season fantasy surge

Why Moussa Diabate is a must-add as the Hornets surge

It might be time to move on from Nikola Vucevic and Coby White

Why Jonathan Kuminga could be a late-season fantasy difference-maker

Two widely available players who could swing your fantasy playoffs

This is the stretch where schedule density, team motivation and durability outweigh reputation. More games mean more chances to accumulate counting stats, and teams chasing seeding are far more likely to lean heavily on their core players than those playing out the string.

Strength of schedule adds another layer. Softer opponents can increase pace and efficiency, creating subtle but meaningful category advantages over a three week matchup. Those edges compound quickly, especially in head to head formats. The goal right now is not to build the flashiest roster, but to build the most reliable one. Prioritize players with secure roles, motivated teams and minimal shutdown risk. Availability and volume win leagues.

As rotations tighten and motivation shifts across the league, here are the players and trends worth monitoring moving forward.

Jackson has developed into a potent finisher for the Memphis Grizzlies, using his size and athleticism to score at the rim instead of settling for perimeter looks. That shift shows up in his shot profile, with increased two-point volume and improved efficiency in the paint, signaling better strength, smarter shot selection and a more intentional downhill attack.

Moussa Diabate rocks the rim with powerful jamMoussa Diabate rocks the rim with flush

Diabate has reminded everyone that he’s the right choice for the Hornets’ starting center role. Since returning from a four-game suspension, he’s posted at least 34 fantasy points in three straight contests. What makes his production especially intriguing is the versatility — Diabate is one of the rare frontcourt players who contributes across nearly every statistical category. Despite that well-rounded profile, he’s rostered in just 36.6% of ESPN leagues.

Kuminga has made an immediate impact since arriving in Atlanta, giving the Hawks a jolt of scoring punch and versatility since his arrival. In his first three games, he’s averaged 21.3 PPG and 7.7 RPG in 26.7 minutes, attacking the rim relentlessly and getting to the free throw line at a career-best rate.

Under Quin Snyder, Kuminga has been empowered to play downhill in space, and the results have extended beyond scoring. He’s showing improved rebounding production, increased defensive engagement and better playmaking, averaging a career-high 3.3 assists while playing with noticeably greater confidence.

Jonathan Kuminga puts on show with two unreal dunks

Jonathan Kuminga stuns the Trail Blazers with a poster dunk and a windmill slam for the Hawks.

As we approach the final leg of the regular season, the fantasy playoffs are right around the corner. Teams with poor records often shift their focus toward the future and are less likely to rush injured players back into action. Two such teams are the Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings, both of whom have widely available players worth targeting.

In Utah, Ace Bailey stands out. Lauri Markkanen is set to be reevaluated in two weeks for a hip injury, creating additional opportunity for Bailey, who was already part of the rotation. Over his last 11 games, Bailey has averaged 28.6 fantasy points in 33.1 minutes per contest while contributing across multiple categories. With little incentive for the Jazz to accelerate Markkanen’s return, Bailey should continue to see significant minutes. He’s rostered in just 33.3% of ESPN leagues.

Sacramento’s frontcourt has been devastated by injuries, most notably Keegan Murray, who is sidelined with an ankle issue, the same ankle that cost him 20 consecutive games earlier this season. That opens the door for Precious Achiuwa to take on a larger role. Over his last six games, he’s averaged 38.8 fantasy points while contributing points, rebounds, steals and blocks. Achiuwa is rostered in only 23.8% of leagues.

That evolution has translated directly to fantasy value. Over his last 10 games, Jackson has averaged 32.1 fantasy points in 25.9 minutes per game. His expanded role doesn’t appear to be a short-term spike, either. With the Grizzlies sitting 11th in the Western Conference (and still competitive), there are no immediate shutdown concerns to limit his workload. Jackson has progressed from a streaky scorer into a reliable multi-category contributor, and with a roster percentage at just 23.1% in ESPN leagues, fantasy managers seeking late-season upside should be paying close attention.

Charlotte’s recent surge only strengthens his case. Over their last 20 games, the Hornets have improved offensively and defensively while stacking wins, and their starting five of LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Miles Bridges and Diabate has been dominant. That group enters Tuesday’s slate with an 18-2 record (minimum 15 games), the best mark of any five-man lineup this season. They’ve outscored opponents by 179 total points when sharing the floor, a +6.2 point differential per game that also leads the league among qualified lineups.

Vucevic’s trade to the Boston Celtics and White’s move to the Charlotte Hornets looked appealing on paper at the deadline. But from a fantasy perspective, both have seen their production decline significantly. Vucevic averaged 16.9 PPG and 9.0 RPG in 30.8 minutes across 48 games with the Chicago Bulls. Since joining Boston, those numbers have dipped to 11.8 PPG and 8.2 RPG in 24.1 minutes. Neemias Queta has siphoned off minutes, and with Jayson Tatum trending toward a return, Vucevic’s rest-of-season outlook appears increasingly uncertain. Despite being rostered in 97.3% of ESPN leagues, he is no longer a clear must-hold, leaving managers with a difficult decision.

White finds himself in a similar situation in Charlotte. As a starter in Chicago, he averaged 18.6 PPG, 3.7 RPG, and 4.7 APG in 29.1 minutes. With the Hornets, he has shifted into a Sixth Man role, and given how well the current starting five has performed, it’s unlikely the coaching staff will disrupt that chemistry. His per-game averages across those key categories have declined since the move. White is not a must-hold option at this stage, and managers searching for alternatives can turn to the latest waiver wire column from Andre Snellings for potential replacements ahead of the fantasy playoffs.

The fresh start appears to have unlocked a more complete version of Kuminga’s game. With Atlanta leaning into transition opportunities and isolation mismatches, Kuminga’s athleticism is translating directly to production for a Hawks team that ranks third in pace. For fantasy managers, that expanded role is key. Kuminga’s scoring, rebounds, free throw volume and defensive contributions give him multi-category upside. If the minutes remain stable, Kuminga has the profile of a late-season difference-maker. He’s still available in 43% of ESPN leagues.

Eric MoodyMar 4, 2026, 06:40 AM ETCloseEric Moody is a writer for fantasy football, men’s and women’s basketball, and sports betting at ESPN. Eric joined ESPN in 2021 after working as a senior fantasy analyst at Pro Football Network. Prior to that, he spent much of his career as a manager at a Fortune 100 financial services company.Follow on XMultiple Authors

CloseEric Moody is a writer for fantasy football, men’s and women’s basketball, and sports betting at ESPN. Eric joined ESPN in 2021 after working as a senior fantasy analyst at Pro Football Network. Prior to that, he spent much of his career as a manager at a Fortune 100 financial services company.Follow on X

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